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Latest news: Inflation and Deflation

Row over government role fuelling inflation, rate rise

Row over government role fuelling inflation, rate rise

Spending blow-outs by the government will force the Reserve Bank to hike rates, critics say, but the treasurer argues the private sector is driving inflation.

Rate rise pain all but certain after inflation shock

Rate rise pain all but certain after inflation shock

Rate rise pain all but certain after inflation shock

Rate rise pain all but certain after inflation shock

Hotter-than-expected inflation figures have convinced analysts the Reserve Bank will lift rates as soon as next week, heaping pressure on mortgage holders.

Key RBA concern eases ahead of crucial inflation print

Key RBA concern eases ahead of crucial inflation print

Key RBA concern eases ahead of crucial inflation print

Key RBA concern eases ahead of crucial inflation print

An easing in capacity constraints will help soothe some worried minds at Martin Place, but hot inflation data could still force the Reserve Bank to hike rates.

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All eyes on crucial data ahead of first RBA meeting

All eyes on crucial data ahead of first RBA meeting

Home owners will wait with baited breath for the Reserve Bank of Australia to hand down its cash rate decision after the release of inflation figures.

Magic number that could decide an interest rate hike

Magic number that could decide an interest rate hike

Traders now tip a greater-than-50 per cent chance of an interest rate hike in February, but some pundits are holding out hope for a Reserve Bank reprieve.

IMF warns of AI bubble risk to global growth outlook

IMF warns of AI bubble risk to global growth outlook

Australia is projected to endure drawn-out, above-target inflation, global economic body the International Monetary Fund says.

Complacency risk for economy as tariff wars re-emerge

Complacency risk for economy as tariff wars re-emerge

A deterioration in the job market could spare Australian borrowers interest rate hikes in 2026, an economist says.

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Oasis tour tunes up economy but clouds rate cut hopes

Oasis tour tunes up economy but clouds rate cut hopes

Oasis tour tunes up economy but clouds rate cut hopes

Oasis tour tunes up economy but clouds rate cut hopes

Britpop giant Oasis and Black Friday bargains have helped bring Australia's economy back in tune, adding to the case against Reserve Bank rate cuts.

Rates hike still on the table despite softer inflation

Rates hike still on the table despite softer inflation

Rates hike still on the table despite softer inflation

Rates hike still on the table despite softer inflation

A sharper-than-expected fall in inflation will encourage the Reserve Bank of Australia, but underlying price growth remains too hot for comfort.

RBA reveals what's needed to avert rate hikes in 2026

RBA reveals what's needed to avert rate hikes in 2026

RBA reveals what's needed to avert rate hikes in 2026

RBA reveals what's needed to avert rate hikes in 2026

Two things must occur for the Reserve Bank to be satisfied that current interest rate levels can bring down inflation, board meeting minutes have revealed.

February is live: RBA warns of impending rate hike

February is live: RBA warns of impending rate hike

February is live: RBA warns of impending rate hike

February is live: RBA warns of impending rate hike

The average mortgage-holder's repayments could soon jump an extra $90 a month, with another Reserve Bank interest rate hike on the cards as early as February.

Splurging shoppers push economy over speed limit

Splurging shoppers push economy over speed limit

Splurging shoppers push economy over speed limit

Splurging shoppers push economy over speed limit

The sharpest rise in household spending in 21 months suggests the economy is continuing to grow in strength, heightening Reserve Bank fears about inflation.

'Very positive news': ray of light post inflation shock

'Very positive news': ray of light post inflation shock

'Very positive news': ray of light post inflation shock

'Very positive news': ray of light post inflation shock

Equipment investment in Australia's IT sector almost doubled in three months amid a surge in data centre projects, which could help revive productivity growth.

Inflation surges as energy rebates run out of gas

Inflation surges as energy rebates run out of gas

Inflation surges as energy rebates run out of gas

Inflation surges as energy rebates run out of gas

Lower energy rebates and higher housing costs than a year ago have propelled the headline inflation rate to its highest level in 16 months.

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Dire housing affordability widening the wealth divide

An extraordinary rise in demand combined with constrained supply has created a boom in Australian home values and rents over the past five years.

RBA reveals what would rule out more interest rate cuts

Barring a material rise in unemployment or weaker-than-expected economic growth, mortgage holders can just about give up hope for any more interest rate relief.

Wages data could force RBA to turn page on rates cut

Unlikely to receive another rate cut in the next six months, borrowers will at least see the big four banks face parliamentary scrutiny in Canberra this week.

The worrying trend that could put an end to rate cuts

The rising cost of new homes and services such as takeaway meals were key to the Reserve Bank's inflation miss in September and could rule out future rate cuts.

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Illicit cigarettes surge clouds modest spending lift

A 0.2 per cent rise in household spending in September would have been twice as strong if not for a fall in legal tobacco sales, according to official figures.

Treasurer hits back as opposition slaps panic button

The coalition has sought to link a recent rise in inflation and unemployment to the 1970s economic malaise, but analysts say there is no need to panic.

Pre-Christmas rate relief dashed after inflation spike

All four major banks predict mortgage holders will have to wait until 2026 for rate relief after a larger-than expected inflation rise.

Shaving red tape, inflation key to economic growth

The economy is in a "good spot" but one sector is proving more stubborn than expected, the boss of the Reserve Bank says.

Spending rebound staggers as Aussies kick booze, smokes

Strong growth in household spending earlier this year is unlikely to be matched, which could ease Reserve Bank fears of a return of inflation pressures.

Cup Day rate cut in doubt as RBA nears final straight

The odds are lengthening on an interest rate cut on Melbourne Cup Day, as the Reserve Bank adopts a hawkish tone and inflation steps up the pace.

Bank's big rate call after 'ugly' inflation print

A big four bank has pushed back its forecast for the next Reserve Bank rate cut after Australia's headline inflation rate jumped in August.

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