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Latest news: Inflation and Deflation
Treasurer downplays property tax windfall from budget
Jim Chalmers is talking down the amount of extra revenue that changes to negative gearing and the capital gains tax discount will add to the budget.
2 days ago
Woolworths bumped price of baby food before 'discount'
Woolworths sold baby food at a higher price for just three weeks before taking off 50 cents and marketing it as a price reduction, a court has been told.
Apr 23, 2026
Warning for borrowers as RBA frets over its credibility
The Reserve Bank is worried about 1970s-style runaway inflation if it loses credibility in fighting inflation, as analysts warn of up to five more rate hikes.
Apr 17, 2026
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Spoils of Iran war to deliver Chalmers a budget boost
The federal budget will be billions of dollars better off, even with added spending, because of higher commodity prices and inflation, a top economist says.
Apr 12, 2026
Australia faces 'sharp recession' if US escalates war
As Donald Trump fails to reassure traders about the Strait of Hormuz, analysts warn Australia's economy is hurtling towards a recession the longer it is closed.
Apr 02, 2026
The RBA conflict that could decide its next rates call
Australia's central bank must abandon its narrow path and choose between getting inflation down quickly or keeping unemployment low, economists say.
Mar 31, 2026
CBA ups inflation prediction as supply chains strain
Australia is staring down the barrel of inflation above five per cent as a result of the Iran oil supply shock, economists from the Commonwealth Bank warn.
Mar 27, 2026
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Labor backs above-inflation wage bump for low-paid
Wage increases have not been driving recent inflation pressures and low-paid workers deserve a real pay rise, the government says.
Mar 26, 2026
Calm before storm: RBA braces for spikes and hikes
The economy is expected to be hit with a savage inflation spike which will in turn increase the chances of more interest rate hikes.
Mar 25, 2026
Insolvencies at record highs, set to rise on Iran war
Australia's most essential industries are exposed to major risks from the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, as surging oil prices weigh on economic growth.
Mar 25, 2026
Confidence tanks as fuel spike flows to building costs
Housing Minister Clare O'Neil has brought together leaders from the construction industry as they grapple with skyrocketing materials costs.
Mar 24, 2026
Unions urge five per cent pay rise as inflation bites
Employer groups warn a pay rise above inflation for minimum wage earners would only tip more fuel onto the fire as rising petrol prices worry the Reserve Bank.
Mar 24, 2026
Upcoming inflation data to show calm before the storm
February consumer price data to be released on Wednesday will shape the Reserve Bank's thinking on interest rates ahead of a crucial meeting in May.
Mar 22, 2026
Three more rate hikes tipped as prices begin to rise
Construction contractors are already hiking prices due to rising fuel costs, in a sign the US-Israeli war in Iran is contributing to economy-wide inflation.
Mar 20, 2026
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Treasurer warns of major economic damage from Iran war
Fresh modelling shows oil price shocks and soaring prices for other commodities will have a lasting impact on Australia's economy.
Mar 18, 2026
Collateral damage: war threatens to blow up inflation
Domestic pressures were behind the Reserve Bank's decision to hike interest rates, governor Michele Bullock says, although the Iran war will worsen inflation.
Mar 17, 2026
Oil shock further reason for tax reform, spending cuts
An economic downturn might be needed to bring inflation back to target, economists warn, but the government can help with spending cuts and productivity reform.
Mar 16, 2026
Interest rate hike 'no slam dunk' amid Iran uncertainty
Traders and economists widely expect the Reserve Bank to lift interest rates but uncertainty over the Iran war could convince the board to keep them on hold.
Mar 15, 2026
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Wavering households ease urgency for more rate hikes
Economic data released this week will leave the Reserve Bank a little less concerned about underlying momentum in consumer demand, an economist says.
Mar 05, 2026
Rate hike odds spike for 'live' March RBA meeting
The battle to tame inflation has been thrown into more uncertainty by conflict in Iran and the Middle East, the Reserve Bank governor says.
Mar 03, 2026
Trump hails ‘golden age’ as US voters sour on economy
Donald Trump has broken the record for longest State of the Union speech as he claimed the US is “winning” under his leadership, even as his poll ratings slide.
Feb 25, 2026
'Rise on the horizon': inflation fuels rate hike fears
A small increase in underlying inflation has led to growing expectations the Reserve Bank will lift the cash rate in coming months.
Feb 25, 2026
'Too high': risk to economy forces RBA's hand on rates
Minutes from the Reserve Bank's latest meeting reveal the thinking behind its call to lift interest rates for the first in more than two years.
Feb 17, 2026
Signs of softening spending could stay RBA's rates hand
A surprise slide in consumer spending has thrown more uncertainty around the Reserve Bank's next move on interest rates.
Feb 09, 2026
Reserve Bank boss calls on businesses to invest smarter
Opposition MPs have grilled Reserve Bank officials over whether government spending and monetary policy errors contributed to the first rate hike in two years.
Feb 06, 2026
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