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Latest news: Inflation and Deflation

Unions urge five per cent pay rise as inflation bites

Unions urge five per cent pay rise as inflation bites

Employer groups warn a pay rise above inflation for minimum wage earners would only tip more fuel onto the fire as rising petrol prices worry the Reserve Bank.

Upcoming inflation data to show calm before the storm

Upcoming inflation data to show calm before the storm

Upcoming inflation data to show calm before the storm

Upcoming inflation data to show calm before the storm

February consumer price data to be released on Wednesday will shape the Reserve Bank's thinking on interest rates ahead of a crucial meeting in May.

Three more rate hikes tipped as prices begin to rise

Three more rate hikes tipped as prices begin to rise

Three more rate hikes tipped as prices begin to rise

Three more rate hikes tipped as prices begin to rise

Construction contractors are already hiking prices due to rising fuel costs, in a sign the US-Israeli war in Iran is contributing to economy-wide inflation.

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Treasurer warns of major economic damage from Iran war

Treasurer warns of major economic damage from Iran war

Fresh modelling shows oil price shocks and soaring prices for other commodities will have a lasting impact on Australia's economy.

Collateral damage: war threatens to blow up inflation

Collateral damage: war threatens to blow up inflation

Domestic pressures were behind the Reserve Bank's decision to hike interest rates, governor Michele Bullock says, although the Iran war will worsen inflation.

Oil shock further reason for tax reform, spending cuts

Oil shock further reason for tax reform, spending cuts

An economic downturn might be needed to bring inflation back to target, economists warn, but the government can help with spending cuts and productivity reform.

Interest rate hike 'no slam dunk' amid Iran uncertainty

Interest rate hike 'no slam dunk' amid Iran uncertainty

Traders and economists widely expect the Reserve Bank to lift interest rates but uncertainty over the Iran war could convince the board to keep them on hold.

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Wavering households ease urgency for more rate hikes

Wavering households ease urgency for more rate hikes

Wavering households ease urgency for more rate hikes

Wavering households ease urgency for more rate hikes

Economic data released this week will leave the Reserve Bank a little less concerned about underlying momentum in consumer demand, an economist says.

Rate hike odds spike for 'live' March RBA meeting

Rate hike odds spike for 'live' March RBA meeting

Rate hike odds spike for 'live' March RBA meeting

Rate hike odds spike for 'live' March RBA meeting

The battle to tame inflation has been thrown into more uncertainty by conflict in Iran and the Middle East, the Reserve Bank governor says.

Trump hails ‘golden age’ as US voters sour on economy

Trump hails ‘golden age’ as US voters sour on economy

Trump hails ‘golden age’ as US voters sour on economy

Trump hails ‘golden age’ as US voters sour on economy

Donald Trump has broken the record for longest State of the Union speech as he claimed the US is “winning” under his leadership, even as his poll ratings slide.

'Rise on the horizon': inflation fuels rate hike fears

'Rise on the horizon': inflation fuels rate hike fears

'Rise on the horizon': inflation fuels rate hike fears

'Rise on the horizon': inflation fuels rate hike fears

A small increase in underlying inflation has led to growing expectations the Reserve Bank will lift the cash rate in coming months.

'Too high': risk to economy forces RBA's hand on rates

'Too high': risk to economy forces RBA's hand on rates

'Too high': risk to economy forces RBA's hand on rates

'Too high': risk to economy forces RBA's hand on rates

Minutes from the Reserve Bank's latest meeting reveal the thinking behind its call to lift interest rates for the first in more than two years.

Signs of softening spending could stay RBA's rates hand

Signs of softening spending could stay RBA's rates hand

Signs of softening spending could stay RBA's rates hand

Signs of softening spending could stay RBA's rates hand

A surprise slide in consumer spending has thrown more uncertainty around the Reserve Bank's next move on interest rates.

Reserve Bank boss calls on businesses to invest smarter

Reserve Bank boss calls on businesses to invest smarter

Reserve Bank boss calls on businesses to invest smarter

Reserve Bank boss calls on businesses to invest smarter

Opposition MPs have grilled Reserve Bank officials over whether government spending and monetary policy errors contributed to the first rate hike in two years.

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Why some economists go against the flow on RBA rate bet

The Reserve Bank is widely tipped to become the first major central bank on Tuesday to U-turn from rate cuts to rate hikes in the post-COVID inflation era.

Row over government role fuelling inflation, rate rise

Spending blow-outs by the government will force the Reserve Bank to hike rates, critics say, but the treasurer argues the private sector is driving inflation.

Rate rise pain all but certain after inflation shock

Hotter-than-expected inflation figures have convinced analysts the Reserve Bank will lift rates as soon as next week, heaping pressure on mortgage holders.

Key RBA concern eases ahead of crucial inflation print

An easing in capacity constraints will help soothe some worried minds at Martin Place, but hot inflation data could still force the Reserve Bank to hike rates.

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All eyes on crucial data ahead of first RBA meeting

Home owners will wait with baited breath for the Reserve Bank of Australia to hand down its cash rate decision after the release of inflation figures.

Magic number that could decide an interest rate hike

Traders now tip a greater-than-50 per cent chance of an interest rate hike in February, but some pundits are holding out hope for a Reserve Bank reprieve.

IMF warns of AI bubble risk to global growth outlook

Australia is projected to endure drawn-out, above-target inflation, global economic body the International Monetary Fund says.

Complacency risk for economy as tariff wars re-emerge

A deterioration in the job market could spare Australian borrowers interest rate hikes in 2026, an economist says.

Oasis tour tunes up economy but clouds rate cut hopes

Britpop giant Oasis and Black Friday bargains have helped bring Australia's economy back in tune, adding to the case against Reserve Bank rate cuts.

Rates hike still on the table despite softer inflation

A sharper-than-expected fall in inflation will encourage the Reserve Bank of Australia, but underlying price growth remains too hot for comfort.

RBA reveals what's needed to avert rate hikes in 2026

Two things must occur for the Reserve Bank to be satisfied that current interest rate levels can bring down inflation, board meeting minutes have revealed.

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